The Dhaka Times Desk War can never bring peace. So everyone is united against war. The war between Ukraine and Russia, or one-sided war, i.e., the way Russia is attacking Ukraine and wreaking havoc, cannot be accepted.
Analysts are trying to understand where the conflict in Ukraine will go in the coming days. Here are some possible images.
Maybe a short war
Russia may intensify its military activities. Indiscriminate artillery fire and rocket attacks may occur throughout Ukraine. So far, the Russian Air Force has not played a major role in this war. But this Air Force may be carrying out all the deadly attacks from the air this time. Within days, the capital city of Kiev fell. Then the government was overthrown and a pro-Moscow puppet government was installed there.
May be a long war
The Russian forces may have weakened due to incompetence of their leadership, problems in bringing and transporting war equipment, low morale. It may also take longer for the Russians to capture cities such as Kiev due to stiff Ukrainian resistance. A possible reason is that cities may have been under siege for a long time.
War across Europe
It is also possible that this war will spread beyond the borders of Ukraine. President Putin may also seek to recapture more of Russia's former Soviet empire. He may also send Russian troops to Moldova and Georgia. Again, due to completely wrong calculations, the war may spread.
What is the diplomatic solution?
Surprisingly, it is true that Russian and Ukrainian representatives have already held two rounds of meetings on the Belarusian border. There may not have been much progress yet, but Putin's acceptance of the meeting proposal suggests he has accepted the possibility of a negotiated ceasefire. But the question is, can the Western alliance propose any way to get out of this crisis? Diplomats say the Russian leader needs to understand the trade-offs for lifting Western sanctions.
Putin can also be ousted
A serious question has arisen and that is, what will happen to Vladimir Putin? "We are ready for any outcome," he said as he launched the Ukraine campaign. But if that happens, Putin has to lose power. Sir Laurence Friedman, a professor of war studies at King's College London, wrote in an article this week that "it is now very possible that there may be a change of power between Kiev and Moscow." Why did he say this? This is probably because Putin has actually embarked on a disastrous war. Thousands of Russian soldiers may die. Economic sanctions can cause a disaster. Putin may also lose public support. There may also be the threat of a mass revolution and Russia's military, political and economic elites may turn against Putin. A bloody palace coup could take place in Russia and Putin could be overthrown.
Not all of these possibilities will come true. But analysts think that maybe one or two of these can lead to different consequences. But after all, no one in the world is in favor of war. All are against war and for peace. And that's the last thing. Source: BBC.
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