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An analysis: What will happen to Saudi Prince Salman?

However, no one can say that these evidences are 100% certain

The Dhaka Times Desk Now the question has arisen among many people, what is going to happen to Saudi Prince Salman? This question has been raised especially after the statement given by the US intelligence agency CIA.

একটি বিশ্লেষণ: কী হতে চলেছে সৌদি যুবরাজ সালমানের পরিণতি? 1

An analytical report on this matter has been published in BBC Bengal. According to the report, the US spy agency CIA believes that 'Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi' - after the news that many people have asked, what is going to happen to Saudi Prince Salman?

Meanwhile, the US daily Washington Post said, a source confirmed to them that the CIA has come to this conclusion after analyzing the data in their possession.

However, no one can say that these evidences are 100% certain. After the Washington Post report, US officials now say many questions remain unanswered. Saudi Arabia itself is investigating the incident.

BBC analyst Frank Gardner said whatever the outcome of the investigation, the reputation of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman had already been severely damaged.

Because of what many describe as MBS, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, what could ultimately be the outcome?

But first, it needs to be seen how the Jamal Khashoggi murder has damaged the Prince's position within Saudi Arabia.

Yuvraj was the symbol of hope for the youth

Prince Mohammed bin Salman is only 33 years old. He is seen as a symbol of hope for the future by millions of young Saudis. He is believed to be leading Saudi Arabia into the 21st century through technology, employment and overall progress.

After the murder of Khashoggi, the position of Prince Mohammad will be now?

Even on this day, Prince Mohammed was being praised in various places, starting from the leader of Western countries to Hollywood, but now many people deeply suspect that he may have had a hand behind this murder.

That is why the leadership of Saudi Arabia has to fall into the most serious political crisis since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

Diplomatic crisis

The government of Saudi Arabia is now under heavy pressure from the Western countries to stop the war in Yemen. As a result, the country has lost a lot of lives, and a serious humanitarian crisis has also arisen.

Saudi Arabia was dependent on the United States and to some extent the United Kingdom to defeat the Houthi rebels in Yemen.

Saudi Arabia is under increasing pressure to end hostilities with neighboring Qatar. Qatar is home to a large base of the US-led coalition – considered crucial to US strategic interests in the region. At least 17 countries work at this base. So the US wants a quick end to the Qatar-Saudi animosity.

What could be the future of MBS?

BBC analyst Frank Gardner said the Saudi government may never publicly acknowledge the issue. But it is very likely that his wings will be clipped anyway, meaning that his power and influence will be at least somewhat curtailed.

Will he stay in his current position?

In June 2017, Mohammed bin Salman became the 'Yuvraj' i.e. heir to the current king. The BBC's Frank Gardner said it would be dramatic and surprising if he were to be removed from his post at all.

Rather, it is thought that his title and status may remain unchanged. Because he is still the very favorite son of his father King Salman.

However, it may happen that some of the powers in his hands may be secretly handed over to others. That is why the tradition of power sharing will return much like before. It may bring stability to the country.

Maybe as a result of this, the number of enemies and critics of Yuvraj Salman will also decrease. Many more such Saudis will be brought into the state's decision-making process. The reason is that since June last year, there is practically a one-man rule in Saudi Arabia.

How reliable is the Washington Post report?

The Washington Post reports that the CIA believes that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman actually ordered the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

The CIA believes the order to kill Jamal Khashoggi came directly from the Saudi crown prince, based on a phone call, the Washington Post said.

Meanwhile, Prince Khaled bin Salman, the brother of Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who is the Saudi ambassador to the United States, called Jamal Khashoggi.

On the instructions of Yuvraj, he called the journalist Jamal Khashoggi and assured him that he could go to the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, he would not be in any danger.

Sources close to the CIA say they have examined the evidence. US officials believe that such an assassination is possible only with the Prince's permission.

The BBC's Frank Gardner also said that on the day of the assassination, detectives found out that the assassination team called a person very close to Prince Salman. He said, these facts are very serious and even though they do not prove anything absolutely.

However, Ambassador Prince Khaled bin Salman claimed that he had no contact with Jamal Khashoggi for a year.

But Saudi Arabia described his claim as false. They said, Yuvraj knew nothing about the assassination plan.

State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert said reports suggesting the U.S. government had reached a final decision on the matter were "fundamentally inaccurate."

Heather Nauert said the White House was working to bring those responsible to justice and uncover "relevant information" about the incident. US President Donald Trump has spoken to top CIA officials on this issue.

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